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Red30
406323.8
75335.8
66829.8
Blue34
77509.9
586614.2
47176.4
77%Model gave it23%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions322510203040503034

Skew-normal from the six robots' rating spreads, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
23.80.1
19.619.5
Auto3.7
Teleop12.0
End8.2
red by 9.6
14.20.1
9.79.8
Auto4.4
Teleop6.1
End3.7
Second
6682
#11
9.80.1
6.26.1
Auto2.6
Teleop3.3
End3.9
blue by 0.1
7750
#12
9.90.1
7.87.9
Auto3.2
Teleop3.3
End3.3
Third
7533
#25
5.80.1
4.94.9
Auto1.4
Teleop3.1
End1.3
blue by 0.7
4717
#24
6.40.1
5.75.8
Auto2.8
Teleop2.8
End0.8
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Rocket
2%Rocket oddsMissed2%Rocket oddsMissed
HAB Docking
37%HAB Docking oddsMissed18%HAB Docking oddsMissed