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Red56
578311.9
697413.8
614415.0
Blue17
76495.7
336611.4
261310.8
68%Model gave it32%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions30230102040505617

Skew-normal from the six robots' rating spreads, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
15.03.1
10.213.2
Auto2.8
Teleop4.8
End7.3
red by 3.6
3366
#16
11.40.6
10.610.1
Auto1.6
Teleop6.5
End3.3
Second
6974
#19
13.83.1
8.011.1
Auto5.1
Teleop6.9
End1.8
red by 3.0
2613
#21
10.80.6
5.85.2
Auto3.6
Teleop2.2
End5.0
Third
11.93.1
10.113.2
Auto2.6
Teleop5.8
End3.6
red by 6.2
7649
#22
5.70.6
5.75.1
Auto2.3
Teleop1.9
End1.5
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Rocket
2%Rocket oddsMissed2%Rocket oddsMissed
HAB Docking
41%HAB Docking oddsEarned12%HAB Docking oddsMissed