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Red51
406323.8
430114.5
578311.9
Blue77
437814.0
11831.6
415318.9
46%Model gave it54%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions43434045505560705177

Skew-normal from the six robots' rating spreads, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
23.81.2
19.520.7
Auto3.7
Teleop12.0
End8.2
blue by 7.8
118
#1
31.64.0
22.927.0
Auto4.7
Teleop19.1
End7.7
Second
4301
#23
14.51.2
7.88.9
Auto3.5
Teleop8.8
End2.2
blue by 4.4
18.94.0
11.115.1
Auto4.9
Teleop8.1
End5.9
Third
11.91.2
13.214.3
Auto2.6
Teleop5.8
End3.6
blue by 2.0
4378
#10
14.04.0
6.710.7
Auto3.5
Teleop7.9
End2.6
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Rocket
2%Rocket oddsMissed2%Rocket oddsMissed
HAB Docking
53%HAB Docking oddsEarned47%HAB Docking oddsEarned