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Red52
586614.2
415318.9
336611.4
Blue39
727112.6
77509.9
437814.0
64%Model gave it36%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions383420304050605239

Skew-normal from the six robots' rating spreads, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
18.90.6
12.613.2
Auto4.9
Teleop8.1
End5.9
red by 4.9
4378
#10
14.00.6
12.212.8
Auto3.5
Teleop7.9
End2.6
Second
14.20.6
11.612.2
Auto4.4
Teleop6.1
End3.7
red by 1.6
12.60.6
11.311.9
Auto3.8
Teleop6.0
End2.8
Third
3366
#16
11.40.6
11.412.0
Auto1.6
Teleop6.5
End3.3
red by 1.5
7750
#12
9.90.6
8.99.5
Auto3.2
Teleop3.3
End3.3
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Rocket
2%Rocket oddsMissed2%Rocket oddsMissed
HAB Docking
19%HAB Docking oddsMissed25%HAB Docking oddsMissed