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Red18
261310.8
56135.9
4577.9
Blue39
47998.2
727112.6
697413.8
34%Model gave it66%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions26310102040501839

Skew-normal from the six robots' rating spreads, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
2613
#21
10.80.5
9.69.1
Auto3.6
Teleop2.2
End5.0
blue by 3.0
6974
#19
13.80.8
11.111.8
Auto5.1
Teleop6.9
End1.8
Second
457
#15
7.90.6
8.57.9
Auto3.6
Teleop1.8
End2.6
blue by 4.7
12.60.8
11.612.3
Auto3.8
Teleop6.0
End2.8
Third
5.90.6
6.35.7
Auto1.6
Teleop1.2
End3.0
blue by 2.4
4799
#17
8.20.8
7.17.8
Auto3.5
Teleop2.2
End2.5
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Rocket
2%Rocket oddsMissed2%Rocket oddsMissed
HAB Docking
15%HAB Docking oddsMissed8%HAB Docking oddsMissed