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Red25
77509.9
56135.9
754011.4
Blue27
586614.2
47176.4
578311.9
27%Model gave it73%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions283410204050602527

Skew-normal from the six robots' rating spreads, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
7540
#13
11.40.1
10.510.4
Auto3.7
Teleop4.7
End3.0
blue by 2.8
14.20.4
13.713.3
Auto4.4
Teleop6.1
End3.7
Second
7750
#12
9.90.1
10.09.9
Auto3.2
Teleop3.3
End3.3
blue by 2.0
11.90.4
12.111.7
Auto2.6
Teleop5.8
End3.6
Third
5.90.1
5.75.6
Auto1.6
Teleop1.2
End3.0
blue by 0.6
4717
#24
6.40.4
6.86.4
Auto2.8
Teleop2.8
End0.8
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Rocket
3%Rocket oddsMissed1%Rocket oddsMissed
HAB Docking
22%HAB Docking oddsMissed13%HAB Docking oddsMissed