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Red49
4577.9
415318.9
66829.8
Blue15
75335.8
47176.4
504711.0
92%Model gave it8%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions37291520253540454915

Skew-normal from the six robots' rating spreads, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
18.92.2
14.912.7
Auto4.9
Teleop8.1
End5.9
red by 7.9
5047
#20
11.01.3
11.910.5
Auto3.8
Teleop3.5
End3.7
Second
6682
#11
9.82.2
9.77.5
Auto2.6
Teleop3.3
End3.9
red by 3.4
4717
#24
6.41.3
8.16.7
Auto2.8
Teleop2.8
End0.8
Third
457
#15
7.92.2
10.17.9
Auto3.6
Teleop1.8
End2.6
red by 2.2
7533
#25
5.81.3
7.15.8
Auto1.4
Teleop3.1
End1.3
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Rocket
2%Rocket oddsMissed2%Rocket oddsMissed
HAB Docking
28%HAB Docking oddsMissed25%HAB Docking oddsMissed