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Red80
384729.4
541427.7
712116.9
Blue63
717926.8
458722.9
215817.0
66%Model gave it34%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions797140601001208063

Skew-normal from the six robots' rating spreads, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
29.40.0
29.829.8
Auto4.9
Teleop20.7
End3.7
red by 2.6
7179
#12
26.80.1
26.926.8
Auto5.3
Teleop18.1
End3.4
Second
27.70.0
28.128.1
Auto3.2
Teleop17.1
End7.4
red by 4.8
4587
#11
22.90.1
23.022.9
Auto4.9
Teleop10.9
End7.1
Third
7121
#15
16.90.0
17.317.3
Auto3.8
Teleop8.1
End4.9
blue by 0.2
2158
#30
17.00.1
17.117.0
Auto5.0
Teleop8.4
End3.6