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Red70
543128.3
258223.6
429513.1
Blue66
380222.7
636919.1
374314.7
77%Model gave it23%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions695830405080901007066

Skew-normal from the six robots' rating spreads, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
28.30.1
28.428.5
Auto4.3
Teleop15.6
End8.4
red by 5.6
3802
#20
22.70.2
22.222.5
Auto2.8
Teleop14.1
End5.7
Second
23.60.1
23.723.8
Auto3.7
Teleop10.9
End9.0
red by 4.6
6369
#10
19.10.2
18.618.9
Auto5.4
Teleop8.0
End5.7
Third
4295
#21
13.10.1
13.213.3
Auto4.6
Teleop5.6
End2.9
blue by 1.6
3743
#14
14.70.2
14.214.5
Auto3.2
Teleop8.6
End2.9