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Red31
75357.6
458722.9
750611.6
Blue69
373518.5
246832.6
258314.6
19%Model gave it81%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions4256203050607080903169

Skew-normal from the six robots' rating spreads, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
4587
#11
22.90.6
21.120.5
Auto4.9
Teleop10.9
End7.1
blue by 9.7
32.60.7
25.225.9
Auto3.8
Teleop20.5
End8.3
Second
7506
#38
11.61.0
10.09.0
Auto4.5
Teleop4.9
End2.3
blue by 6.9
18.50.7
13.914.6
Auto4.9
Teleop10.5
End3.1
Third
7535
#41
7.61.0
8.97.9
Auto0.9
Teleop4.2
End2.6
blue by 7.0
2583
#19
14.60.7
13.814.5
Auto5.2
Teleop5.7
End3.7
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Rocket
2%Rocket oddsMissed1%Rocket oddsMissed
HAB Docking
30%HAB Docking oddsEarned51%HAB Docking oddsEarned