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Red48
458722.9
750317.6
712510.1
Blue50
751110.7
374314.7
380222.7
60%Model gave it40%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions47442030405060704850

Skew-normal from the six robots' rating spreads, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
4587
#11
22.90.2
20.520.7
Auto4.9
Teleop10.9
End7.1
red by 0.2
3802
#20
22.70.6
20.320.8
Auto2.8
Teleop14.1
End5.7
Second
7503
#22
17.60.2
14.714.9
Auto5.8
Teleop8.0
End3.9
red by 3.0
3743
#14
14.70.6
11.211.8
Auto3.2
Teleop8.6
End2.9
Third
7125
#29
10.10.4
9.610.0
Auto3.5
Teleop2.1
End4.5
blue by 0.6
7511
#24
10.70.6
10.110.6
Auto3.2
Teleop4.2
End3.3
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Rocket
2%Rocket oddsMissed2%Rocket oddsMissed
HAB Docking
30%HAB Docking oddsEarned13%HAB Docking oddsMissed