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Red40
712510.1
617117.2
300525.3
Blue42
590811.8
246832.6
337012.0
32%Model gave it68%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions425202060801004042

Skew-normal from the six robots' rating spreads, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
3005
#18
25.30.0
16.616.6
Auto4.9
Teleop14.8
End5.5
blue by 7.3
32.60.5
25.725.2
Auto3.8
Teleop20.5
End8.3
Second
6171
#17
17.20.0
12.112.1
Auto4.3
Teleop10.8
End2.1
red by 5.2
3370
#33
12.00.8
11.210.4
Auto3.6
Teleop4.2
End4.1
Third
7125
#29
10.10.0
11.311.3
Auto3.5
Teleop2.1
End4.5
blue by 1.7
5908
#26
11.80.8
12.711.8
Auto2.4
Teleop5.2
End4.2
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Rocket
2%Rocket oddsMissed2%Rocket oddsMissed
HAB Docking
15%HAB Docking oddsMissed67%HAB Docking oddsEarned