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Red60
770813.9
751011.2
458722.9
Blue58
543128.3
30377.9
712510.1
58%Model gave it42%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions50493540455560656058

Skew-normal from the six robots' rating spreads, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
4587
#11
22.90.8
23.023.8
Auto4.9
Teleop10.9
End7.1
blue by 5.5
28.30.4
28.829.2
Auto4.3
Teleop15.6
End8.4
Second
7708
#39
13.91.3
13.715.0
Auto3.5
Teleop7.7
End2.7
red by 3.8
7125
#29
10.10.7
9.910.6
Auto3.5
Teleop2.1
End4.5
Third
7510
#31
11.20.8
10.811.6
Auto4.6
Teleop4.3
End2.3
red by 3.3
3037
#27
7.90.4
7.27.6
Auto3.5
Teleop3.1
End1.3
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Rocket
1%Rocket oddsMissed3%Rocket oddsMissed
HAB Docking
41%HAB Docking oddsEarned60%HAB Docking oddsEarned