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Red47
374314.7
590811.8
174514.4
Blue74
731912.1
246832.6
384729.4
2%Model gave it98%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions44752060801004774

Skew-normal from the six robots' rating spreads, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
3743
#14
14.70.4
12.713.0
Auto3.2
Teleop8.6
End2.9
blue by 17.9
32.60.2
30.931.1
Auto3.8
Teleop20.5
End8.3
Second
1745
#36
14.40.4
13.814.2
Auto3.6
Teleop6.1
End4.7
blue by 14.9
29.40.2
28.028.2
Auto4.9
Teleop20.7
End3.7
Third
5908
#26
11.80.6
15.215.8
Auto2.4
Teleop5.2
End4.2
blue by 0.2
7319
#23
12.10.2
12.212.4
Auto4.8
Teleop3.7
End3.5
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Rocket
3%Rocket oddsMissed16%Rocket oddsEarned
HAB Docking
25%HAB Docking oddsMissed66%HAB Docking oddsEarned