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Red44
380222.7
751011.2
590811.8
Blue74
717926.8
258223.6
6479.2
24%Model gave it76%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions48592030407080904474

Skew-normal from the six robots' rating spreads, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
3802
#20
22.70.1
22.222.1
Auto2.8
Teleop14.1
End5.7
blue by 4.1
7179
#12
26.81.2
25.827.1
Auto5.3
Teleop18.1
End3.4
Second
5908
#26
11.80.1
12.212.1
Auto2.4
Teleop5.2
End4.2
blue by 11.8
23.61.2
22.423.7
Auto3.7
Teleop10.9
End9.0
Third
7510
#31
11.20.1
10.910.8
Auto4.6
Teleop4.3
End2.3
red by 2.0
647
#32
9.21.2
7.28.5
Auto2.4
Teleop3.6
End3.2
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Rocket
1%Rocket oddsMissed1%Rocket oddsMissed
HAB Docking
37%HAB Docking oddsMissed60%HAB Docking oddsEarned