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Red70
541427.7
524220.2
429513.1
Blue46
635713.4
712116.9
731912.1
90%Model gave it10%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions61432030507080907046

Skew-normal from the six robots' rating spreads, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
27.70.8
26.026.8
Auto3.2
Teleop17.1
End7.4
red by 10.8
7121
#15
16.90.4
17.117.5
Auto3.8
Teleop8.1
End4.9
Second
5242
#13
20.21.0
20.021.0
Auto3.9
Teleop12.3
End4.0
red by 6.8
6357
#42
13.40.3
12.512.8
Auto3.3
Teleop7.3
End2.8
Third
4295
#21
13.11.0
11.412.4
Auto4.6
Teleop5.6
End2.9
red by 1.0
7319
#23
12.10.3
11.511.8
Auto4.8
Teleop3.7
End3.5
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Rocket
5%Rocket oddsMissed4%Rocket oddsMissed
HAB Docking
38%HAB Docking oddsEarned17%HAB Docking oddsMissed