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Red51
541120.5
174514.4
582912.6
Blue54
751011.2
28057.6
717926.8
59%Model gave it41%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions514720304060705154

Skew-normal from the six robots' rating spreads, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
5411
#16
20.50.4
21.521.0
Auto3.3
Teleop11.6
End5.6
blue by 6.3
7179
#12
26.80.4
27.127.5
Auto5.3
Teleop18.1
End3.4
Second
1745
#36
14.40.4
13.613.2
Auto3.6
Teleop6.1
End4.7
red by 3.2
7510
#31
11.20.4
10.811.2
Auto4.6
Teleop4.3
End2.3
Third
5829
#34
12.60.4
13.012.6
Auto4.0
Teleop6.9
End1.7
red by 5.0
2805
#40
7.60.4
7.17.6
Auto4.5
Teleop2.2
End0.9
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Rocket
5%Rocket oddsMissed3%Rocket oddsMissed
HAB Docking
13%HAB Docking oddsEarned10%HAB Docking oddsMissed