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Red75
384729.4
541427.7
712116.9
Blue59
543128.3
258223.6
429513.1
77%Model gave it23%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions7969405060901007559

Skew-normal from the six robots' rating spreads, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
29.40.0
29.829.8
Auto4.9
Teleop20.7
End3.7
red by 1.0
28.30.1
28.528.3
Auto4.3
Teleop15.6
End8.4
Second
27.70.0
28.128.1
Auto3.2
Teleop17.1
End7.4
red by 4.1
23.60.1
23.823.6
Auto3.7
Teleop10.9
End9.0
Third
7121
#15
16.90.0
17.317.3
Auto3.8
Teleop8.1
End4.9
red by 3.8
4295
#21
13.10.1
13.213.1
Auto4.6
Teleop5.6
End2.9