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Red57
654714.0
680022.2
541429.9
Blue64
632117.1
258516.0
23127.7
67%Model gave it33%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions635840507080905764

Skew-normal from the six robots' rating spreads, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
29.90.2
29.028.8
Auto3.9
Teleop17.5
End8.6
red by 2.2
231
#2
27.70.6
25.325.9
Auto5.3
Teleop16.3
End6.1
Second
6800
#21
22.20.2
21.020.8
Auto3.7
Teleop16.2
End2.3
red by 5.1
17.10.6
14.715.3
Auto4.5
Teleop5.3
End7.3
Third
6547
#24
14.00.2
10.09.8
Auto3.8
Teleop6.7
End3.5
blue by 2.0
2585
#23
16.00.6
14.815.4
Auto5.3
Teleop7.2
End3.5
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Rocket
3%Rocket oddsMissed1%Rocket oddsMissed
HAB Docking
44%HAB Docking oddsEarned42%HAB Docking oddsEarned