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Red48
288216.4
507011.4
526118.5
Blue55
664515.4
258719.9
741015.1
17%Model gave it83%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions40521020306070804855

Skew-normal from the six robots' rating spreads, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
5261
#26
18.50.7
18.419.1
Auto5.1
Teleop10.4
End2.9
blue by 1.5
19.90.4
20.020.4
Auto5.2
Teleop11.4
End3.3
Second
2882
#12
16.40.7
14.014.7
Auto4.6
Teleop9.7
End2.1
red by 1.0
6645
#22
15.40.4
15.015.3
Auto4.4
Teleop8.2
End2.7
Third
5070
#17
11.40.7
5.46.1
Auto3.3
Teleop5.9
End2.3
blue by 3.7
7410
#27
15.10.4
14.514.8
Auto5.5
Teleop7.1
End2.5
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Rocket
2%Rocket oddsMissed2%Rocket oddsMissed
HAB Docking
10%HAB Docking oddsMissed13%HAB Docking oddsMissed