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Red53
74409.6
429520.2
632117.1
Blue38
769117.7
711512.2
761610.1
59%Model gave it41%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions373520304050605338

Skew-normal from the six robots' rating spreads, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
20.21.2
14.515.6
Auto5.2
Teleop9.3
End5.8
red by 2.5
7691
#25
17.70.5
14.114.7
Auto4.8
Teleop9.4
End3.6
Second
17.11.2
13.714.8
Auto4.5
Teleop5.3
End7.3
red by 4.9
7115
#13
12.20.3
9.59.8
Auto4.8
Teleop6.4
End1.1
Third
7440
#20
9.61.2
7.38.5
Auto4.8
Teleop2.7
End2.1
blue by 0.5
7616
#28
10.10.3
9.59.9
Auto4.9
Teleop3.3
End1.9
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Rocket
4%Rocket oddsMissed2%Rocket oddsMissed
HAB Docking
29%HAB Docking oddsEarned8%HAB Docking oddsMissed