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Red55
507011.4
302910.5
680022.2
Blue52
29509.4
590812.2
23127.7
19%Model gave it81%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions34480102030406070805552

Skew-normal from the six robots' rating spreads, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
6800
#21
22.21.3
22.123.4
Auto3.7
Teleop16.2
End2.3
blue by 5.6
231
#2
27.70.4
27.227.6
Auto5.3
Teleop16.3
End6.1
Second
5070
#17
11.41.3
6.17.4
Auto3.3
Teleop5.9
End2.3
blue by 0.7
5908
#31
12.20.4
11.211.6
Auto3.9
Teleop4.8
End3.5
Third
3029
#14
10.51.3
4.25.5
Auto2.2
Teleop4.6
End3.8
red by 1.1
2950
#29
9.40.4
7.47.8
Auto4.1
Teleop2.5
End2.9
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Rocket
2%Rocket oddsEarned2%Rocket oddsMissed
HAB Docking
6%HAB Docking oddsMissed26%HAB Docking oddsMissed