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Red51
75188.6
526118.5
590812.2
Blue45
741015.1
29509.4
654714.0
65%Model gave it35%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions403510203050605145

Skew-normal from the six robots' rating spreads, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
5261
#26
18.50.9
18.819.7
Auto5.1
Teleop10.4
End2.9
red by 3.3
7410
#27
15.10.8
14.715.5
Auto5.5
Teleop7.1
End2.5
Second
5908
#31
12.20.9
11.612.5
Auto3.9
Teleop4.8
End3.5
blue by 1.8
6547
#24
14.00.8
10.411.2
Auto3.8
Teleop6.7
End3.5
Third
7518
#16
8.60.9
7.07.9
Auto4.5
Teleop1.4
End2.8
blue by 0.8
2950
#29
9.40.8
7.88.6
Auto4.1
Teleop2.5
End2.9
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Rocket
2%Rocket oddsMissed2%Rocket oddsMissed
HAB Docking
35%HAB Docking oddsMissed9%HAB Docking oddsMissed