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Red51
731215.6
74409.6
680022.2
Blue64
632117.1
258719.9
288119.9
28%Model gave it72%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions47592040801005164

Skew-normal from the six robots' rating spreads, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
6800
#21
22.20.4
23.423.8
Auto3.7
Teleop16.2
End2.3
red by 2.2
19.90.5
21.021.5
Auto5.2
Teleop11.4
End3.3
Second
7312
#15
15.60.4
12.813.2
Auto5.2
Teleop6.1
End4.2
blue by 4.3
19.90.5
20.220.7
Auto4.9
Teleop10.2
End4.9
Third
7440
#20
9.60.4
8.58.9
Auto4.8
Teleop2.7
End2.1
blue by 7.5
17.10.5
14.815.4
Auto4.5
Teleop5.3
End7.3
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Rocket
2%Rocket oddsEarned1%Rocket oddsMissed
HAB Docking
16%HAB Docking oddsMissed44%HAB Docking oddsEarned