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Red59
310314.1
711512.2
429520.2
Blue47
258516.0
654714.0
75188.6
64%Model gave it36%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions413820253035455055605947

Skew-normal from the six robots' rating spreads, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
20.21.3
16.217.5
Auto5.2
Teleop9.3
End5.8
red by 4.2
2585
#23
16.00.7
16.917.7
Auto5.3
Teleop7.2
End3.5
Second
3103
#32
14.11.3
12.714.0
Auto5.2
Teleop6.2
End2.7
red by 0.2
6547
#24
14.00.7
11.211.9
Auto3.8
Teleop6.7
End3.5
Third
7115
#13
12.21.3
10.311.6
Auto4.8
Teleop6.4
End1.1
red by 3.6
7518
#16
8.60.7
7.98.7
Auto4.5
Teleop1.4
End2.8
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Rocket
3%Rocket oddsMissed1%Rocket oddsMissed
HAB Docking
10%HAB Docking oddsMissed30%HAB Docking oddsMissed