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Red59
23127.7
288216.4
731215.6
Blue51
590812.2
526118.5
769117.7
79%Model gave it21%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions614920304070805951

Skew-normal from the six robots' rating spreads, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
231
#2
27.70.1
27.127.0
Auto5.3
Teleop16.3
End6.1
red by 9.3
5261
#26
18.50.3
20.220.5
Auto5.1
Teleop10.4
End2.9
Second
2882
#12
16.40.1
16.316.2
Auto4.6
Teleop9.7
End2.1
blue by 1.4
7691
#25
17.70.4
15.916.4
Auto4.8
Teleop9.4
End3.6
Third
7312
#15
15.60.1
14.013.9
Auto5.2
Teleop6.1
End4.2
red by 3.4
5908
#31
12.20.3
10.110.4
Auto3.9
Teleop4.8
End3.5
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Rocket
2%Rocket oddsMissed2%Rocket oddsMissed
HAB Docking
20%HAB Docking oddsEarned20%HAB Docking oddsMissed