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Red19
592311.9
632117.1
125515.7
Blue59
429520.2
749416.0
310314.1
45%Model gave it55%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions47500204060801001959

Skew-normal from the six robots' rating spreads, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
17.11.7
15.914.2
Auto4.5
Teleop5.3
End7.3
blue by 3.1
20.20.8
17.518.3
Auto5.2
Teleop9.3
End5.8
Second
15.71.7
16.915.3
Auto4.7
Teleop5.0
End5.9
blue by 0.4
7494
#11
16.00.8
16.116.8
Auto4.7
Teleop8.0
End3.3
Third
5923
#30
11.91.7
11.49.7
Auto3.8
Teleop6.2
End1.9
blue by 2.3
3103
#32
14.10.8
14.014.8
Auto5.2
Teleop6.2
End2.7
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Rocket
1%Rocket oddsMissed4%Rocket oddsMissed
HAB Docking
80%HAB Docking oddsMissed17%HAB Docking oddsMissed