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Red69
592311.9
288119.9
23127.7
Blue39
372811.5
664515.4
611115.8
80%Model gave it20%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions5946203040507080906939

Skew-normal from the six robots' rating spreads, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
231
#2
27.70.9
27.328.2
Auto5.3
Teleop16.3
End6.1
red by 11.9
15.80.3
16.316.0
Auto5.9
Teleop7.2
End2.8
Second
19.90.9
18.419.3
Auto4.9
Teleop10.2
End4.9
red by 4.5
6645
#22
15.40.3
14.514.2
Auto4.4
Teleop8.2
End2.7
Third
5923
#30
11.90.9
9.710.6
Auto3.8
Teleop6.2
End1.9
red by 0.4
3728
#19
11.50.4
12.912.5
Auto2.9
Teleop5.8
End2.8
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Rocket
2%Rocket oddsMissed2%Rocket oddsMissed
HAB Docking
36%HAB Docking oddsEarned20%HAB Docking oddsMissed