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Red59
29509.4
664515.4
541429.9
Blue40
680022.2
769117.7
372811.5
58%Model gave it42%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions484520304060705940

Skew-normal from the six robots' rating spreads, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
29.90.9
28.129.0
Auto3.9
Teleop17.5
End8.6
red by 7.7
6800
#21
22.20.8
20.419.6
Auto3.7
Teleop16.2
End2.3
Second
6645
#22
15.40.9
12.613.5
Auto4.4
Teleop8.2
End2.7
blue by 2.4
7691
#25
17.71.4
10.79.3
Auto4.8
Teleop9.4
End3.6
Third
2950
#29
9.41.0
4.85.8
Auto4.1
Teleop2.5
End2.9
blue by 2.0
3728
#19
11.51.4
11.610.1
Auto2.9
Teleop5.8
End2.8
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Rocket
3%Rocket oddsMissed2%Rocket oddsMissed
HAB Docking
54%HAB Docking oddsMissed22%HAB Docking oddsMissed