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Red44
64886.9
680022.2
75188.6
Blue53
711512.2
731215.6
29509.4
54%Model gave it46%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions3937203050604453

Skew-normal from the six robots' rating spreads, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
6800
#21
22.20.1
20.820.9
Auto3.7
Teleop16.2
End2.3
red by 6.6
7312
#15
15.60.3
14.014.3
Auto5.2
Teleop6.1
End4.2
Second
7518
#16
8.60.1
8.99.0
Auto4.5
Teleop1.4
End2.8
blue by 3.6
7115
#13
12.20.3
12.312.6
Auto4.8
Teleop6.4
End1.1
Third
6488
#18
6.90.1
6.86.9
Auto3.2
Teleop3.1
End0.6
blue by 2.6
2950
#29
9.40.3
9.19.4
Auto4.1
Teleop2.5
End2.9
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Rocket
3%Rocket oddsMissed2%Rocket oddsMissed
HAB Docking
10%HAB Docking oddsMissed8%HAB Docking oddsMissed