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Red36
46418.4
380221.0
550317.1
Blue50
278910.7
271420.9
265715.9
35%Model gave it65%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions333910205060703650

Skew-normal from the six robots' rating spreads, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
3802
#15
21.00.6
12.412.9
Auto3.9
Teleop13.9
End3.3
red by 0.1
20.90.7
16.617.3
Auto5.3
Teleop11.6
End4.1
Second
17.10.3
12.412.7
Auto3.4
Teleop10.0
End3.8
red by 1.2
2657
#11
15.90.7
11.712.4
Auto3.6
Teleop9.1
End3.2
Third
4641
#20
8.40.3
6.16.5
Auto2.3
Teleop4.0
End2.0
blue by 2.4
2789
#17
10.70.7
8.39.0
Auto3.3
Teleop4.2
End3.2
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Rocket
2%Rocket oddsMissed3%Rocket oddsMissed
HAB Docking
5%HAB Docking oddsMissed11%HAB Docking oddsMissed