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Red34
676812.4
419216.1
667220.8
Blue40
367921.1
568212.4
32829.2
83%Model gave it17%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions433420304050603440

Skew-normal from the six robots' rating spreads, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
20.80.7
15.915.2
Auto5.8
Teleop11.7
End3.4
blue by 0.3
21.10.5
16.617.1
Auto5.2
Teleop13.4
End2.6
Second
4192
#29
16.10.7
11.811.1
Auto2.6
Teleop9.3
End4.1
red by 3.7
5682
#21
12.40.9
9.210.1
Auto3.3
Teleop6.7
End2.4
Third
6768
#16
12.40.7
13.012.2
Auto2.6
Teleop6.0
End3.8
red by 3.2
3282
#31
9.20.9
6.27.1
Auto4.1
Teleop3.5
End1.6
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Rocket
2%Rocket oddsMissed2%Rocket oddsMissed
HAB Docking
16%HAB Docking oddsMissed14%HAB Docking oddsMissed