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Red48
380221.0
543125.4
65268.4
Blue39
617112.1
461023.8
71199.7
49%Model gave it51%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions414401001502004839

Skew-normal from the six robots' rating spreads, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
25.41.0
17.818.8
Auto3.5
Teleop13.9
End8.1
red by 1.6
4610
#13
23.80.2
20.520.3
Auto5.5
Teleop17.0
End1.3
Second
3802
#15
21.01.0
12.914.0
Auto3.9
Teleop13.9
End3.3
red by 8.9
6171
#30
12.10.3
10.610.3
Auto3.2
Teleop7.1
End1.9
Third
6526
#25
8.41.0
8.09.1
Auto2.3
Teleop4.6
End1.5
blue by 1.2
7119
#32
9.70.3
10.510.2
Auto3.5
Teleop3.9
End2.3
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Rocket
2%Rocket oddsMissed3%Rocket oddsMissed
HAB Docking
27%HAB Docking oddsMissed13%HAB Docking oddsMissed