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Red30
46418.4
665512.9
278910.7
Blue17
174510.6
65268.4
568212.4
46%Model gave it54%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions293015202535403017

Skew-normal from the six robots' rating spreads, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
6655
#24
12.90.1
12.112.1
Auto3.9
Teleop8.2
End0.8
red by 0.6
5682
#21
12.41.3
10.18.8
Auto3.3
Teleop6.7
End2.4
Second
2789
#17
10.70.0
9.09.0
Auto3.3
Teleop4.2
End3.2
red by 0.1
1745
#27
10.61.3
9.27.9
Auto3.4
Teleop5.3
End1.9
Third
4641
#20
8.40.0
6.56.4
Auto2.3
Teleop4.0
End2.0
blue by 0.1
6526
#25
8.41.3
9.17.8
Auto2.3
Teleop4.6
End1.5
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Rocket
1%Rocket oddsMissed2%Rocket oddsMissed
HAB Docking
5%HAB Docking oddsMissed17%HAB Docking oddsMissed