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Red30
71199.7
568212.4
541713.8
Blue36
550317.1
174510.6
71208.9
60%Model gave it40%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions363101020405060703036

Skew-normal from the six robots' rating spreads, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
13.80.3
14.914.7
Auto3.4
Teleop7.3
End3.2
blue by 3.4
17.10.4
13.113.6
Auto3.4
Teleop10.0
End3.8
Second
5682
#21
12.40.4
8.88.4
Auto3.3
Teleop6.7
End2.4
red by 1.8
1745
#27
10.60.7
7.98.7
Auto3.4
Teleop5.3
End1.9
Third
7119
#32
9.70.4
10.29.8
Auto3.5
Teleop3.9
End2.3
red by 0.7
7120
#23
8.90.7
8.39.1
Auto1.6
Teleop4.4
End2.8
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Rocket
2%Rocket oddsMissed2%Rocket oddsMissed
HAB Docking
18%HAB Docking oddsMissed7%HAB Docking oddsMissed