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Red33
461023.8
436413.8
73038.0
Blue35
65268.4
32829.2
541713.8
90%Model gave it10%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions47321020405060703335

Skew-normal from the six robots' rating spreads, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
4610
#13
23.80.8
21.620.9
Auto5.5
Teleop17.0
End1.3
red by 10.0
13.80.3
14.514.8
Auto3.4
Teleop7.3
End3.2
Second
4364
#19
13.81.2
13.111.9
Auto3.5
Teleop6.0
End4.3
red by 4.6
3282
#31
9.20.5
6.57.0
Auto4.1
Teleop3.5
End1.6
Third
7303
#34
8.01.2
9.88.6
Auto4.0
Teleop2.1
End1.9
blue by 0.4
6526
#25
8.40.5
8.99.4
Auto2.3
Teleop4.6
End1.5
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Rocket
2%Rocket oddsMissed2%Rocket oddsMissed
HAB Docking
11%HAB Docking oddsMissed7%HAB Docking oddsMissed