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Red27
67519.9
419216.1
71208.9
Blue25
65268.4
436413.8
636914.4
33%Model gave it67%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions33391020305060702725

Skew-normal from the six robots' rating spreads, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
4192
#29
16.10.4
12.612.2
Auto2.6
Teleop9.3
End4.1
red by 1.6
6369
#18
14.41.2
15.113.9
Auto4.6
Teleop5.9
End4.0
Second
6751
#26
9.90.4
10.39.9
Auto5.0
Teleop2.6
End2.3
blue by 3.9
4364
#19
13.81.1
12.911.8
Auto3.5
Teleop6.0
End4.3
Third
7120
#23
8.90.4
8.58.1
Auto1.6
Teleop4.4
End2.8
red by 0.5
6526
#25
8.41.1
9.48.3
Auto2.3
Teleop4.6
End1.5
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Rocket
2%Rocket oddsMissed2%Rocket oddsMissed
HAB Docking
14%HAB Docking oddsMissed17%HAB Docking oddsMissed