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Red64
690117.3
271420.9
717923.4
Blue50
65268.4
278910.7
461023.8
90%Model gave it10%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions624120801006450

Skew-normal from the six robots' rating spreads, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
23.40.3
22.021.6
Auto6.0
Teleop15.0
End2.4
blue by 0.4
4610
#13
23.80.7
21.322.0
Auto5.5
Teleop17.0
End1.3
Second
20.90.2
19.018.7
Auto5.3
Teleop11.6
End4.1
red by 10.2
2789
#17
10.70.7
9.510.2
Auto3.3
Teleop4.2
End3.2
Third
17.30.3
17.617.3
Auto4.3
Teleop9.5
End3.5
red by 8.9
6526
#25
8.40.9
8.39.2
Auto2.3
Teleop4.6
End1.5
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Rocket
1%Rocket oddsMissed2%Rocket oddsMissed
HAB Docking
15%HAB Docking oddsMissed5%HAB Docking oddsMissed