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Red51
71208.9
667220.8
271420.9
Blue59
505711.3
717923.4
676812.4
60%Model gave it40%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions504510203040607080905159

Skew-normal from the six robots' rating spreads, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
20.90.3
18.719.0
Auto5.3
Teleop11.6
End4.1
blue by 2.4
23.41.3
21.623.0
Auto6.0
Teleop15.0
End2.4
Second
20.80.3
19.920.1
Auto5.8
Teleop11.7
End3.4
red by 8.4
6768
#16
12.41.3
11.512.8
Auto2.6
Teleop6.0
End3.8
Third
7120
#23
8.90.3
8.68.9
Auto1.6
Teleop4.4
End2.8
blue by 2.4
5057
#12
11.31.3
9.610.9
Auto3.2
Teleop5.7
End2.4
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Rocket
1%Rocket oddsMissed2%Rocket oddsMissed
HAB Docking
19%HAB Docking oddsMissed9%HAB Docking oddsMissed