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Red48
463916.1
310311.7
420621.3
Blue50
348121.0
749414.4
541425.6
29%Model gave it71%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions53660204060801004850

Skew-normal from the six robots' rating spreads, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
4206
#25
21.30.1
21.421.2
Auto4.2
Teleop13.9
End3.3
blue by 4.3
5414
#24
25.60.8
27.726.9
Auto3.4
Teleop15.7
End6.5
Second
16.10.1
14.314.2
Auto3.8
Teleop9.4
End3.0
blue by 4.8
3481
#22
21.00.8
19.118.3
Auto4.9
Teleop13.4
End2.7
Third
3103
#29
11.70.1
14.314.1
Auto4.3
Teleop4.7
End2.7
blue by 2.7
7494
#10
14.40.8
15.815.0
Auto4.7
Teleop6.8
End3.0
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Rocket
3%Rocket oddsMissed3%Rocket oddsMissed
HAB Docking
20%HAB Docking oddsMissed65%HAB Docking oddsEarned