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Red59
300528.0
458726.8
582910.8
Blue66
637729.2
147721.3
215821.9
52%Model gave it48%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions7070506080905966

Skew-normal from the six robots' rating spreads, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
28.00.5
27.226.7
Auto4.3
Teleop19.5
End4.2
blue by 1.2
29.20.0
26.226.2
Auto4.3
Teleop18.0
End7.0
Second
26.80.5
27.927.4
Auto5.2
Teleop14.6
End7.1
red by 4.9
2158
#13
21.90.0
20.420.4
Auto4.8
Teleop11.4
End5.7
Third
5829
#34
10.80.5
11.210.8
Auto3.4
Teleop5.0
End2.4
blue by 10.5
1477
#30
21.30.0
19.319.3
Auto4.2
Teleop11.2
End5.9
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Rocket
31%Rocket oddsMissed3%Rocket oddsMissed
HAB Docking
66%HAB Docking oddsEarned99%HAB Docking oddsEarned