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Red58
147721.3
32325.9
50709.7
Blue71
420621.3
542717.5
348121.0
42%Model gave it58%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions56602040801005871

Skew-normal from the six robots' rating spreads, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
323
#11
25.90.4
25.225.5
Auto5.9
Teleop15.1
End4.8
red by 4.5
4206
#25
21.30.9
20.621.5
Auto4.2
Teleop13.9
End3.3
Second
1477
#30
21.30.4
18.719.1
Auto4.2
Teleop11.2
End5.9
red by 0.4
3481
#22
21.00.9
17.818.8
Auto4.9
Teleop13.4
End2.7
Third
5070
#32
9.70.4
8.89.2
Auto3.5
Teleop4.9
End1.3
blue by 7.8
5427
#16
17.50.9
18.519.5
Auto2.9
Teleop11.8
End2.8
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Rocket
5%Rocket oddsMissed2%Rocket oddsMissed
HAB Docking
57%HAB Docking oddsMissed27%HAB Docking oddsMissed