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Red70
458726.8
420621.3
419219.2
Blue40
598613.1
62420.4
333517.6
73%Model gave it27%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions73582040801001207040

Skew-normal from the six robots' rating spreads, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
26.80.8
27.927.1
Auto5.2
Teleop14.6
End7.1
red by 6.4
624
#12
20.41.0
22.221.2
Auto5.6
Teleop11.7
End3.0
Second
4206
#25
21.30.8
21.520.7
Auto4.2
Teleop13.9
End3.3
red by 3.7
3335
#19
17.61.0
18.717.8
Auto4.2
Teleop10.5
End2.9
Third
4192
#20
19.20.8
19.518.7
Auto4.1
Teleop8.3
End6.9
red by 6.2
5986
#36DQ
13.11.0
13.512.6
Auto4.0
Teleop6.5
End2.5
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Rocket
5%Rocket oddsMissed5%Rocket oddsMissed
HAB Docking
86%HAB Docking oddsEarned29%HAB Docking oddsMissed