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Red50
271418.7
582910.8
147721.3
Blue53
749414.4
50709.7
384726.0
51%Model gave it49%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions52512030406070805053

Skew-normal from the six robots' rating spreads, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
1477
#30
21.30.1
19.119.1
Auto4.2
Teleop11.2
End5.9
blue by 4.7
3847
#14
26.00.3
24.324.6
Auto5.0
Teleop17.3
End3.7
Second
2714
#27
18.70.1
18.418.5
Auto5.1
Teleop9.8
End3.7
red by 4.3
7494
#10
14.40.3
15.115.4
Auto4.7
Teleop6.8
End3.0
Third
5829
#34
10.80.1
11.711.7
Auto3.4
Teleop5.0
End2.4
red by 1.1
5070
#32
9.70.3
9.29.5
Auto3.5
Teleop4.9
End1.3
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Rocket
4%Rocket oddsMissed25%Rocket oddsMissed
HAB Docking
63%HAB Docking oddsEarned13%HAB Docking oddsMissed