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Red58
762111.1
303520.9
324014.3
Blue58
348117.7
787211.7
575414.6
54%Model gave it46%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions4846102030406070805858

Skew-normal from the six robots' rating spreads, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
20.9
Auto5.0
Teleop12.8
End3.1
red by 3.1
3481
#11
17.7
Auto4.8
Teleop10.0
End3.0
Second
3240
#13
14.3
Auto5.1
Teleop6.0
End3.2
blue by 0.2
5754
#18
14.6
Auto2.9
Teleop9.4
End2.3
Third
7621
#19
11.1
Auto4.1
Teleop4.6
End2.4
blue by 0.6
11.7
Auto4.7
Teleop4.6
End2.3