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Red60
762111.1
303520.9
324014.3
Blue33
29695.3
433211.6
693512.4
78%Model gave it22%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions43311020506070806033

Skew-normal from the six robots' rating spreads, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
20.90.4
19.019.3
Auto5.0
Teleop12.8
End3.1
red by 8.5
6935
#12
12.40.1
12.512.6
Auto2.8
Teleop6.9
End2.8
Second
3240
#13
14.30.4
12.412.8
Auto5.1
Teleop6.0
End3.2
red by 2.7
11.60.1
11.611.7
Auto4.3
Teleop3.9
End3.3
Third
7621
#19
11.10.4
9.29.6
Auto4.1
Teleop4.6
End2.4
red by 5.8
2969
#24
5.30.1
5.45.5
Auto2.5
Teleop0.9
End2.0