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Red40
598615.7
589414.9
39977.0
Blue44
348117.7
787211.7
575414.6
48%Model gave it52%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions40410102030506070804044

Skew-normal from the six robots' rating spreads, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
5986
#16
15.70.0
15.815.9
Auto6.1
Teleop6.3
End3.3
blue by 2.1
3481
#11
17.70.1
16.016.1
Auto4.8
Teleop10.0
End3.0
Second
14.90.0
15.115.1
Auto2.6
Teleop8.7
End3.6
red by 0.4
5754
#18
14.60.1
13.013.1
Auto2.9
Teleop9.4
End2.3
Third
3997
#32
7.00.0
7.27.2
Auto2.5
Teleop2.8
End1.8
blue by 4.7
11.70.1
10.110.3
Auto4.7
Teleop4.6
End2.3