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Red36
693512.4
752120.2
30285.4
Blue21
348117.7
70889.3
615514.6
26%Model gave it74%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions293610204050603621

Skew-normal from the six robots' rating spreads, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
20.20.3
10.010.3
Auto5.3
Teleop11.9
End3.0
red by 2.5
3481
#11
17.71.5
12.911.5
Auto4.8
Teleop10.0
End3.0
Second
6935
#12
12.40.3
9.39.7
Auto2.8
Teleop6.9
End2.8
blue by 2.2
14.60.9
10.19.2
Auto2.8
Teleop9.5
End2.3
Third
3028
#26
5.40.3
7.88.1
Auto0.8
Teleop2.4
End2.2
blue by 3.9
7088
#27
9.31.5
11.09.6
Auto2.5
Teleop4.0
End2.8
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Rocket
2%Rocket oddsMissed2%Rocket oddsMissed
HAB Docking
19%HAB Docking oddsMissed12%HAB Docking oddsMissed