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Red43
303520.9
35459.3
30291.9
Blue42
39977.0
615514.6
433211.6
36%Model gave it64%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions232651015203035404342

Skew-normal from the six robots' rating spreads, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
20.91.3
8.710.0
Auto5.0
Teleop12.8
End3.1
red by 6.3
14.60.2
9.49.5
Auto2.8
Teleop9.5
End2.3
Second
3545
#28
9.31.3
5.87.1
Auto4.1
Teleop2.9
End2.3
blue by 2.3
11.60.3
7.17.4
Auto4.3
Teleop3.9
End3.3
Third
3029
#31
1.91.3
6.98.2
Auto0.8
Teleop-0.4
End1.6
blue by 5.1
3997
#32
7.00.3
7.78.0
Auto2.5
Teleop2.8
End1.8
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Rocket
2%Rocket oddsMissed2%Rocket oddsMissed
HAB Docking
15%HAB Docking oddsMissed11%HAB Docking oddsMissed