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Red29
356110.8
598615.7
762111.1
Blue27
589414.9
78376.4
575414.6
72%Model gave it28%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions31210104050602927

Skew-normal from the six robots' rating spreads, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
5986
#16
15.70.0
10.410.4
Auto6.1
Teleop6.3
End3.3
red by 0.7
14.90.8
8.79.4
Auto2.6
Teleop8.7
End3.6
Second
7621
#19
11.10.0
6.46.4
Auto4.1
Teleop4.6
End2.4
blue by 3.4
5754
#18
14.60.5
6.06.5
Auto2.9
Teleop9.4
End2.3
Third
3561
#22
10.80.0
12.112.1
Auto4.2
Teleop5.0
End1.6
red by 4.5
7837
#34
6.40.5
5.25.7
Auto2.7
Teleop2.2
End1.5
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Rocket
2%Rocket oddsMissed2%Rocket oddsMissed
HAB Docking
6%HAB Docking oddsMissed6%HAB Docking oddsMissed